Jeff Denham
10th District — Central Valley including Modesto
According to the numbers political prognosticators typically rely on, Denham should have lost in 2016. Hillary Clinton and Denham each won the district by 3 percentage points. Denham has had the secret sauce to keep his constituents happy even as Democrats have salivated to flip a district seemingly so perfect for their party. An ingredient to his success: His attention to water issues critical in the Central Valley. His likely opponent, Democrat Josh Harder, has proved a good fundraiser. Even if Harder can consolidate support that went to other Democratic candidates in the primary, his success may hinge on his ability to woo some moderate Republicans to his side
Key votes:
For: Obamacare repeal For: GOP tax plan
