No state is home to more toss-up congressional races than Minnesota, according to experts, and fundraising in the state’s four most competitive districts is already off to a blistering start. Districts 1, 2, 3 and 8 in particular are expected to be among the nation’s most competitive — and expensive — races come November.
FiveThirtyEight Classic View of Minnesota’s House Races: (as of Aug. 20, 2018.)
1st District: TOSS-UP
2nd District: Likely Democratic, Angie Craig a 3-in-4 chance of winning.
3rd District: Leaning Democratic, Erik Paulsen a 3-in-8 chance of winning.
4th District: Solid Democratic.
5th District: Solid Democratic.
6th District: Solid Republican.
7th District: Likely Democratic; The current congressman is a Democrat.
8th District: Leaning Republican; Gives GOP 2-in-3 chance of winning.
